Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 2.392277 2.540809 2.697792 2.876746 3.075944 3.291855 3.544921
2026-01-11 2.160791 2.365956 2.594173 2.869365 3.195674 3.574809 4.055629
2026-01-18 2.049864 2.291383 2.569696 2.919071 3.353333 3.885993 4.606770
2026-01-25 2.123311 2.428685 2.794902 3.276718 3.910770 4.743711 5.972961
2026-02-01 1.964119 2.269832 2.643141 3.145117 3.823999 4.746739 6.171470
2026-02-08 1.820535 2.119858 2.490283 2.996591 3.695753 4.671623 6.234021
2026-02-15 1.741171 2.045113 2.427103 2.959308 3.712673 4.798636 6.617884
2026-02-22 1.659072 1.961904 2.347132 2.892065 3.679018 4.843892 6.871763
2026-03-01 1.575547 1.872668 2.254116 2.800015 3.600673 4.810878 6.984069
2026-03-08 1.489625 1.776738 2.147668 2.682802 3.476207 4.693300 6.928246
2026-03-15 1.453129 1.744240 2.124682 2.681718 3.524362 4.853521 7.401802
2026-03-22 1.412589 1.704528 2.089724 2.660787 3.539583 4.959714 7.789337
2026-03-29 1.347031 1.633456 2.014793 2.586855 3.481786 4.962539 8.029085
2026-04-05 1.307133 1.596103 1.985757 2.580237 3.532649 5.164433 8.749115
2026-04-12 1.286142 1.583110 1.989521 2.622012 3.664693 5.529583 9.950684
2026-04-19 1.340785 1.677070 2.151270 2.920201 4.267391 6.919744 14.495343
2026-04-26 1.278335 1.602603 2.061822 2.810922 4.135332 6.781880 14.579729
2026-05-03 1.215783 1.526021 1.966369 2.686970 3.967178 6.545939 14.274445
2026-05-10 1.181578 1.489005 1.928653 2.655751 3.968652 6.685997 15.327087
2026-05-17 1.142988 1.444346 1.877565 2.599337 3.917616 6.699601 15.943864
2026-05-24 1.101170 1.393786 1.815749 2.521881 3.820529 6.593718 16.065390
2026-05-31 1.055885 1.337073 1.742902 2.422866 3.675783 6.360158 15.599804
2026-06-07 1.037353 1.318897 1.728358 2.421948 3.722187 6.592931 17.217678